The Monkey's Paw Curls

Isn't "may you get exactly what you asked for" one of those ancient Chinese curses?

Since we last spoke, prediction markets have go"> The Monkey's Paw Curls

Isn't "may you get exactly what you asked for" one of those ancient Chinese curses?

Since we last spoke, prediction markets have go"> The Monkey's Paw Curls

Isn't "may you get exactly what you asked for" one of those ancient Chinese curses?

Since we last spoke, prediction markets have go">

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls

Jan 30, 2026 · 35m

<h2 id="the-monkeys-paw-curls">The Monkey's Paw Curls</h2> <p>Isn't "may you get exactly what you asked for" one of those ancient Chinese curses?</p> <p>Since we last spoke, prediction markets have gone to the moon, rising from millions to billions in monthly volume.</p> <p>For a few weeks in October, Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan was the world's youngest self-made billionaire (now it's some AI people). Kalshi is <a href= "https://slate.com/technology/2026/01/maduro-prediction-market-polymarket-kalshi-app.html"> so accurate that it's getting called a national security threat</a>.</p> <p>The catch is, of course, …

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