Astral Codex Ten Podcast
Record Low Crime Rates Are Real, Not Just Reporting Bias Or Improved Medical Care
Mar 14, 2026
· 16m
<p>Last year, the US may have recorded the lowest murder rate in its 250 year history. Other crimes have poorer historical data, but are at least at ~50 year lows.</p> <p>This post will do two things:</p> <ol> <li>Establish that our best data show crime rates are historically low</li> <li>Argue that this is a real effect, not just reporting bias (people report fewer crimes to police) or an artifact of better medical care (victims are more likely to survive, so murders …
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