The Story
People are betting on war. Here’s why it matters
Mar 27, 2026
· 32m
<p>Polymarket and Kalshi have become two of the fastest-growing online platforms in the prediction market, hosting bets where people can wager on the outcome of events, including on the conflict in Iran. But some observers have raised concerns that unusually precise, well-timed bets could point to insider dealings. So what exactly are prediction markets? And what does it mean for society when you can bet on almost anything?</p><br><p><em>This podcast was brought to you thanks to the support of readers of …
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