Why are the Greens Surging-

Jul 03, 2026 16:40 · 8:19 · English · Whisper Turbo · 1 Дыбыс тақшалары
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
As a party to the left of British politics,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the Greens were presented with something of an interesting opportunity following the 2024
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
general election.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Keir Starmer had spent years purging the Labour Party of its most left -wing
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
elements, and tacked to the right once he actually entered office.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Many people expected this to benefit the Greens,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
as perhaps a natural home to disaffected left -wing voters who'd
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
voted Labour in the past,
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but were put off by Starmer's brand of centrism.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Under Adrian Ramsey and Carla Denia,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the previous Green leaders,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
this didn't really happen.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
The Greens polling remained stagnant at about 10 % and criticisms were made
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
of their timid approach towards Labour and their poor use of social media.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
This all seems to have changed though under the new Green leader,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Zach Polanski.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
So in this video we're going to take a look at the Greens polling over the last year,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
why their polling seems to be surging now and what they need to focus on
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
if they want to remain in this position in the polls.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
If you want more UK political drama from us,
1:02
S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
then check out our podcast,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Starmageddon,
1:04
S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
where we track the successes and failures of this new Labour government.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Find it over on the TLDR Podcast YouTube channel,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
or in your favourite podcast app.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
So, let's start with a quick recap.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
In the 2024 general election,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the Green Party,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
at the time led by Ramsey and Denya,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
secured 6 .4 % of the vote,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and won 4 seats in what was the party's best election on
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
record.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
For the co -leaders,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
this was a resounding success.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
It gave them more power in parliament,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
demonstrated the Green movement was growing,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and helped them argue that their cautious approach in the general election,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
of only targeting four seats that looked achievable,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and focusing on issues that mattered in these constituencies,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
hadn't worked.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
One of the Greens' main aims after the election was to use their MPs to try and
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
push the Labour Party into being bolder on issues they care about.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
This project though was hampered by the cautious nature of the Ramsey -Denya leadership.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Take the Climate and Nature Bill,
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for example.
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Proposed by Liberal Democrat MP Roz Savage,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the bill aimed to bind the UK to its climate targets.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
In its first reading,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
this was voted down by the Labour Party.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And while Green co -leader Carla Denia denounced this,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the party didn't make a big fuss,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and it wasn't mentioned on their social media platforms at all.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
This would have been the perfect time to stick the boot into the Labour government,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and put forward the argument that they were abandoning their environmental principles.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Similarly, Ramsey and Denya just didn't really utilise social media,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
which is probably the most effective way for smaller parties to influence the so
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
-called discourse.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Many of their clips were just screen recordings of parliamentary speeches,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
media appearances,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
or some questionable memes.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Other smaller parties,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
such as Reform UK,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
had a far bigger online footprint,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and were making huge strides in the polls.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And to make matters even worse,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the Green Party were embroiled in an eternal struggle over trans ideology,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
with one co -leader,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Adrian Ramsey,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
being supportive of the findings of the cast review,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and the other co -leader,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Carla Denia,
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less so.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
On occasions when trans issues hit the headlines,
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left -leaning outlets criticized Ramsey's views and highlighted the purported
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
rift between the two co -leaders on the issue.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And this did little to convince voters that the party was a united force,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
ready to take on the government.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Unsurprisingly, this sparked some frustration within the party amongst those who believed that more
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
could be made of the electoral opportunity that Starmer presented for the Greens.
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So attempting to represent these disaffected Green members in the leadership
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election was Zach Polanski,
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one of the then -deputy leaders.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
He claimed that the party had been too timid,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and that they needed to become a mass -membership political force that could take
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
on reform and farage,
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and that to do this,
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they needed to change their communication style.
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He argued that they needed to take clearer policy positions.
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Polanski,
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for instance, is squarely against the Cass report and has argued that the Greens need
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a single leader who could better communicate the views of the party.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
This pitch apparently resonated with Green Party members,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
who elected him as leader in September with 85 % of the vote.
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Since becoming leader,
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Polanski has attempted to pursue the changes that he claimed his party needed.
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Some of his TikToks have gained hundreds of thousands of views,
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he's been more visible on traditional media,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and questions about his party's unity have largely subsided.
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He's also dialed up the attacks on both Labour and reform,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
particularly on immigration,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
something that Green supporters don't tend to see as an issue in the same way as
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other political parties.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And already,
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the polls are showing that his fame is increasing among the electorate.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Last month,
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around 70 % of people said that they didn't have an opinion on him,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and this has decreased to 62 % now.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
At the end of their leadership,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
77 % said they didn't have an opinion on Carla Denia,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and 82 % said that they didn't have an opinion on Adrian Ramsey.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Similarly, the feuds and spats between Jeremy Corbyn and Zahra Sultana,
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who are attempting to set up a grassroots left -wing party of their own,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
have only served to help the Greens.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Both parties are attempting to capture a similar section of the electorate,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and had Sultana and Corbyn not fallen out,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
there's a risk that they might have taken support from the Greens,
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and this is looking less likely now.
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All of this has consequently resulted in an impressive bump in the polls.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
A few months ago,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
the Greens were polling at 7 or 8%.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Now they're polling at around 12,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
with some pollsters such as Find Out Now and the latest YouGov poll putting
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them on 15%.
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If we dive a little deeper into the polling,
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it's evidence that a lot of this rise seems to actually come at the expense of Labour.
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Back in February,
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around 5 % of 2024 Labour voters said that they supported the Greens.
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The most recent YouGov poll puts this figure at 15%.
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So clearly,
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Polanski's more confrontational approach to the government is resonating with disaffected
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Labour voters.
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Separately,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Polanski's focus on social media has helped him gain support from younger voters.
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Back in February,
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25 % of those aged 18 to 24 said that they would vote Green.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
This has now risen to 30%,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
a five -point increase.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And when we turn to the Greens' membership figures,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
we can see that support isn't just confined to the polls.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Following Polanski's appearance on Laura Koonsberg at the weekend,
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the Greens gained an extra 1 ,000 members,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
taking their overall membership to 126 ,000 people,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
making them the third largest party in the UK in terms of membership size.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
All of this is very impressive for a smaller party,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
and demonstrates that Polanski's leadership style seems to be working.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
The question though is,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
can this surge actually last?
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Well,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
as with all smaller parties,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
this will be determined by two things.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
Firstly,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
whether Labour remains popular,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
given that a lot of the Greens' recent increase has been driven by dissatisfaction
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
with the Labour Party.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
And secondly,
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
whether Polanski can avoid any public falling outs with Green colleagues.
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
after all as we saw with the your party fiasco spats can really
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
do damage to a party's credibility
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)
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