Why are the Greens Surging-

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

As a party to the left of British politics,

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the Greens were presented with something of an interesting opportunity following the 2024

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general election.

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Keir Starmer had spent years purging the Labour Party of its most left -wing

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elements, and tacked to the right once he actually entered office.

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Many people expected this to benefit the Greens,

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as perhaps a natural home to disaffected left -wing voters who'd

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voted Labour in the past,

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but were put off by Starmer's brand of centrism.

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Under Adrian Ramsey and Carla Denia,

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the previous Green leaders,

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this didn't really happen.

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The Greens polling remained stagnant at about 10 % and criticisms were made

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of their timid approach towards Labour and their poor use of social media.

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This all seems to have changed though under the new Green leader,

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Zach Polanski.

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So in this video we're going to take a look at the Greens polling over the last year,

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why their polling seems to be surging now and what they need to focus on

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if they want to remain in this position in the polls.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

If you want more UK political drama from us,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

then check out our podcast,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

Starmageddon,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

where we track the successes and failures of this new Labour government.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

Find it over on the TLDR Podcast YouTube channel,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

or in your favourite podcast app.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

So, let's start with a quick recap.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

In the 2024 general election,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

the Green Party,

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at the time led by Ramsey and Denya,

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secured 6 .4 % of the vote,

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and won 4 seats in what was the party's best election on

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record.

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For the co -leaders,

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this was a resounding success.

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It gave them more power in parliament,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

demonstrated the Green movement was growing,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

and helped them argue that their cautious approach in the general election,

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of only targeting four seats that looked achievable,

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and focusing on issues that mattered in these constituencies,

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hadn't worked.

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One of the Greens' main aims after the election was to use their MPs to try and

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push the Labour Party into being bolder on issues they care about.

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This project though was hampered by the cautious nature of the Ramsey -Denya leadership.

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Take the Climate and Nature Bill,

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for example.

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Proposed by Liberal Democrat MP Roz Savage,

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the bill aimed to bind the UK to its climate targets.

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In its first reading,

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this was voted down by the Labour Party.

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And while Green co -leader Carla Denia denounced this,

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the party didn't make a big fuss,

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and it wasn't mentioned on their social media platforms at all.

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This would have been the perfect time to stick the boot into the Labour government,

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and put forward the argument that they were abandoning their environmental principles.

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Similarly, Ramsey and Denya just didn't really utilise social media,

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which is probably the most effective way for smaller parties to influence the so

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-called discourse.

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Many of their clips were just screen recordings of parliamentary speeches,

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media appearances,

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or some questionable memes.

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Other smaller parties,

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such as Reform UK,

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had a far bigger online footprint,

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and were making huge strides in the polls.

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And to make matters even worse,

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the Green Party were embroiled in an eternal struggle over trans ideology,

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with one co -leader,

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Adrian Ramsey,

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being supportive of the findings of the cast review,

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and the other co -leader,

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Carla Denia,

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less so.

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On occasions when trans issues hit the headlines,

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left -leaning outlets criticized Ramsey's views and highlighted the purported

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

rift between the two co -leaders on the issue.

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And this did little to convince voters that the party was a united force,

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ready to take on the government.

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Unsurprisingly, this sparked some frustration within the party amongst those who believed that more

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could be made of the electoral opportunity that Starmer presented for the Greens.

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So attempting to represent these disaffected Green members in the leadership

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election was Zach Polanski,

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one of the then -deputy leaders.

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He claimed that the party had been too timid,

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and that they needed to become a mass -membership political force that could take

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on reform and farage,

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and that to do this,

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they needed to change their communication style.

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He argued that they needed to take clearer policy positions.

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Polanski,

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for instance, is squarely against the Cass report and has argued that the Greens need

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a single leader who could better communicate the views of the party.

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This pitch apparently resonated with Green Party members,

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who elected him as leader in September with 85 % of the vote.

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Since becoming leader,

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Polanski has attempted to pursue the changes that he claimed his party needed.

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Some of his TikToks have gained hundreds of thousands of views,

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he's been more visible on traditional media,

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and questions about his party's unity have largely subsided.

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He's also dialed up the attacks on both Labour and reform,

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particularly on immigration,

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something that Green supporters don't tend to see as an issue in the same way as

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other political parties.

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And already,

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the polls are showing that his fame is increasing among the electorate.

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Last month,

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around 70 % of people said that they didn't have an opinion on him,

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and this has decreased to 62 % now.

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At the end of their leadership,

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77 % said they didn't have an opinion on Carla Denia,

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and 82 % said that they didn't have an opinion on Adrian Ramsey.

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Similarly, the feuds and spats between Jeremy Corbyn and Zahra Sultana,

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who are attempting to set up a grassroots left -wing party of their own,

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have only served to help the Greens.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

Both parties are attempting to capture a similar section of the electorate,

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and had Sultana and Corbyn not fallen out,

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there's a risk that they might have taken support from the Greens,

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and this is looking less likely now.

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All of this has consequently resulted in an impressive bump in the polls.

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A few months ago,

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the Greens were polling at 7 or 8%.

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Now they're polling at around 12,

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with some pollsters such as Find Out Now and the latest YouGov poll putting

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them on 15%.

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If we dive a little deeper into the polling,

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it's evidence that a lot of this rise seems to actually come at the expense of Labour.

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Back in February,

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around 5 % of 2024 Labour voters said that they supported the Greens.

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The most recent YouGov poll puts this figure at 15%.

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So clearly,

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Polanski's more confrontational approach to the government is resonating with disaffected

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Labour voters.

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Separately,

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Polanski's focus on social media has helped him gain support from younger voters.

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Back in February,

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25 % of those aged 18 to 24 said that they would vote Green.

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This has now risen to 30%,

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a five -point increase.

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And when we turn to the Greens' membership figures,

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we can see that support isn't just confined to the polls.

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Following Polanski's appearance on Laura Koonsberg at the weekend,

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the Greens gained an extra 1 ,000 members,

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taking their overall membership to 126 ,000 people,

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making them the third largest party in the UK in terms of membership size.

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All of this is very impressive for a smaller party,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

and demonstrates that Polanski's leadership style seems to be working.

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The question though is,

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can this surge actually last?

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

Well,

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as with all smaller parties,

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this will be determined by two things.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

Firstly,

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whether Labour remains popular,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

given that a lot of the Greens' recent increase has been driven by dissatisfaction

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with the Labour Party.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

And secondly,

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

whether Polanski can avoid any public falling outs with Green colleagues.

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

after all as we saw with the your party fiasco spats can really

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do damage to a party's credibility

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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S… Speaker 1 (Why are the Greens Surging-)

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