માત્ર બતાવી રહ્યા છે
0:00
S… Speaker 1 (AM 7-23)
All right, review of the trade today.
0:01
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Let's just jump right into it here.
0:03
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
We'll zoom out daily,
0:05
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
what we're looking at first,
0:07
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
pair the daily profile.
0:08
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I'm using ES more to gauge this framework,
0:12
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
although you can see it on NQ.
0:13
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I'm just using ES here because the idea is highs,
0:17
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
divergence here,
0:19
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
if we compare NQ.
0:22
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
lower high.
0:23
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And we're just seeing a little bit more obvious respect to the invalidation
0:27
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
point just because if we were to do this on ES here,
0:30
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
if we were to draw that out,
0:32
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
that would be a lot more clear with just a larger upper wick.
0:36
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So I just like to view it from this perspective and also just pure failure swings
0:40
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
off the lows when we're drawing back into them.
0:42
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
It's just like a great target to look for.
0:44
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So this framework here is relevant highs,
0:47
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
divergence,
0:47
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
respecting invalidation point.
0:49
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
lows, the opposing extreme of the range that we'd be targeting.
0:52
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And we're trying to see if we get profile confirmation in this first
0:57
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
part of the daily candle.
0:58
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So again,
0:59
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I was going to this day,
1:00
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
like not needing a specific one -sided bias initially,
1:04
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but the development is showing us,
1:05
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
okay, now we had this likely framework that we'd be able to work off of.
1:09
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And now we see something fairly obvious,
1:11
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
which is when we start to go into the daily profile.
1:15
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
18 candles forming a high,
1:17
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
and then one o 'clock candle is breaking away from that high here.
1:20
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
But the biggest piece to me,
1:22
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I can get rid of this,
1:23
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
it's fine, is this low.
1:26
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So this low here,
1:27
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I view as an area that is
1:31
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
considered a relevant swing,
1:33
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
because if we were to view it like this.
1:35
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we have that separation that we could potentially reverse there and almost treat this
1:39
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
like a range from one to the other.
1:41
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
But we're gauging,
1:42
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
you know, what happens there.
1:44
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So when we're coming back into this area,
1:46
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
it shifts our relevant low a little bit,
1:48
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but okay,
1:49
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
initial reaction,
1:50
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we're trying to trade off of that,
1:53
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but then we start to fade back into it.
1:55
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So attempt to manipulate and we are fading back down into that area.
2:00
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And again,
2:01
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
it's the same extreme.
2:02
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
If this is going to turn higher,
2:04
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
it has to happen,
2:06
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
initially had to happen here,
2:07
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but this is our last leg where if it fails to manipulate this,
2:12
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
where is it going to turn bullish?
2:13
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
It won't turn bullish anywhere because this is our extreme of the current range.
2:17
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And if we fail to manipulate this,
2:19
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
then we think, fail to manipulate,
2:21
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
continue to the next relevant low,
2:24
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
which could be this on NQ or ES has its own targets.
2:27
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And we're just gauging a reaction here.
2:30
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Again, you see expansion hits that extreme and attempts.
2:34
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
We get some form of a reaction,
2:36
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but then it fails immediately.
2:37
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So 15 minutes is completely fine,
2:39
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but I'm using five.
2:40
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Same thing.
2:42
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Eight o 'clock candle opens up right here.
2:45
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And the high of that eight o 'clock candle,
2:47
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we assume paired with the framework is once we get this closure,
2:50
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we're putting in a high of the initial
2:54
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
part of New York session.
2:55
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So we get that closure,
2:57
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
fail to manipulate.
3:00
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
initially the previous day low but this becomes our new relevant swing because it's the intraday low
3:04
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
that initially tried to push off of and it fails to do so again
3:08
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
if if this was going to go higher it would create our basically a new york reversal once
3:12
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we don't have that in play fail to manipulate can take our shot at the continuation
3:16
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
and we see that break down here so that's really
3:20
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
what i like to see
3:22
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
one -sided at that point.
3:23
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So one -sided bias,
3:24
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but also extremely active overnight session.
3:28
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I mean, this is not consolidation.
3:29
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
This is large price swings.
3:31
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And especially the price leg before I'm taking an entry is this really impulsive
3:35
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
move.
3:35
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
That's fast.
3:36
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
That's expansion.
3:37
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So when I'm taking my entry,
3:39
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I feel confident in pre -market because we're just assuming this can continue.
3:43
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I mean,
3:44
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
we kind of just almost see that leg of prices.
3:46
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
You know, we continue that expectation.
3:49
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
If it was just consolidating very slow,
3:51
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
then yeah, these pre -market entries aren't highly interesting,
3:53
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but this is exactly what we like to see.
3:55
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So initial closure,
3:57
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
2R,
3:57
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
you could go fixed 2R,
3:58
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
completely fine.
3:59
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
But also target,
4:01
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
clearly a surprise.
4:03
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
There's a reaction at the relevant low.
4:04
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
ADR is exhausted.
4:05
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And then ES here as well.
4:08
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
That could be another target you look for.
4:10
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
going from one pair to the next.
4:12
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Again, ES has the exact same framework.
4:14
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
You could enter on ES.
4:16
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
There's no real issue with that.
4:17
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I just, you guys know that pre -market,
4:19
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I like to take NQ.
4:19
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
The framework all looks good there.
4:22
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So once that happens,
4:24
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
yes,
4:25
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I think you could,
4:26
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
if the open gives you some signature,
4:28
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
you could take that final poke into the lows,
4:32
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
right?
4:33
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Like that would have been your trade.
4:34
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
this brief little move.
4:36
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Could you trade that?
4:36
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
You could.
4:37
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I don't think it was offered very well here.
4:39
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
And not saying even specifically inside of the day,
4:42
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but the idea is that we've exhausted that move and the
4:46
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
open may just push into that target.
4:47
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
All of this here.
4:50
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
I wouldn't touch.
4:51
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Maybe the day continues to move.
4:53
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
It's been a large range day,
4:54
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
but I wouldn't have a high level of confidence in what should happen next.
4:57
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
It's more of framework,
4:58
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
hit our target,
4:59
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
and basically that's it.
5:01
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
So that's everything on the trade.
5:04
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
Any questions,
5:05
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
let me know.
5:05
S… Speaker 2 (AM 7-23)
But hopefully that made sense.

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