12.m4a

Sep 21, 2026 19:19 · 51:50 · English · Whisper Turbo · 8 דוברים
תעתיק זה פג תוקף ב 24 ימים. שדרוג לאחסון קבוע →
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0:07
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Thank you very much,
0:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Shukran.
0:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We really appreciate you having us this evening.
0:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Good morning ladies and gentlemen,
0:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
my name is Kreaty Boulbissa,
0:22
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I'm a Uqandana,
0:27
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
and I'm a Uqandana, and I'm a Uqandana,
0:28
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and I'm a Uqandana,
0:31
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
and I'm a Uqandana.
0:34
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
My name is Mustafa,
0:36
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
in English.
0:37
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
My name is Mustafa from CAPMAS,
0:40
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Egypt.
0:41
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
I am working as an international cooperation coordinator.
0:45
S… Speaker 5 (12.m4a)
Good morning,
0:47
S… Speaker 5 (12.m4a)
welcome to Egypt.
0:47
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Safa Usami,
0:48
S… Speaker 5 (12.m4a)
Head of Center Administration of Economic and Financial Statistics,
0:52
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
CAPMAS.
0:53
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
My name is Daphne.
0:56
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I'm working with Mr.
0:57
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Ms.
0:58
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Feeb.
0:58
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
He is my director in the African Department.
1:03
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
My name is Hoda Niem.
1:04
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
I am a professor in Hoda Recarcer at
1:08
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
the Institute of National Planning and I work with the Ministry
1:13
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
of Planning as a supervisor of the scientific research.
1:17
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Good morning.
1:19
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I am Dr.
1:20
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Iman Hany from the National Food Safety Authority.
1:22
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
I am working there as a consultant for the Department of Affairs and
1:26
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
International Cooperation.
1:49
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Good morning.
1:51
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
Good morning.
1:51
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
This is Nekada Mark from the DG of Phenicrop Perception Institute,
1:54
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
Ayrson.
2:05
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I would like to thank
2:09
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
you for this opportunity.
2:11
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Actually,
2:12
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I believe this project will benefit all of us.
2:15
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So let's directly start and not waste time.
2:19
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I know that you have heavy schedule.
2:23
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Please start with your introduction about this project.
2:27
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
2:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Thank you very much.
2:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I wish you could all speak Arabic but for now
2:54
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
allow us to speak this foreign language called English.
2:58
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Please stop us if anyone would like translation
3:02
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
we can do this during the presentation.
3:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So just to open remarks a bit and then I'll allow my colleague
3:11
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and sister Nima to also say something and then our technical
3:15
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
director to show what you're coming here.
3:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So first is to thank you all.
3:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I know we've been trying to come and our people
3:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
are busy and working but we said we had
3:28
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
already bought tickets,
3:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we had already made plans.
3:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and he said please allow us to come today and then we will make this presentation
3:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then we can take things from there and see going forward how we
3:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
work was to make sure we plan earlier for
3:45
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
that to be fixed in the calendar but thank you very much we
3:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
are here to talk about the regional food balance sheet as it
3:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
says it's just a food balance sheet this
3:57
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
project started way back in the year 2000
4:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
as a response to the coronavirus pandemic.
4:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
When we didn't have information coming from everywhere,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
some countries were being affected by
4:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
food shortages,
4:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
especially most of the African countries where we
4:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
either import or export.
4:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the commissar wanted a platform,
4:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
a digital one,
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S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
where we can.
4:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
put together information on who has what.
4:30
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that will be a trade deal,
4:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
when Madam from Trades wants to buy rice
4:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
from Tanzania or from somewhere in the United States.
4:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And so we have operated originally
4:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for our first six countries,
4:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then went to nine countries.
4:48
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Now we're going to start,
4:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
so that's for the North.
4:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So when we go to Egypt,
4:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
go to Sudan,
4:57
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we are already in Ethiopia and Kenya.
5:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that's why we are here to see how Egypt could benefit and
5:07
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
be part of this program.
5:11
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And so I want to invite Nema to say something,
5:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then Roy will give us a presentation.
5:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
But if you look at the map,
5:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
that's how we are.
5:21
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And we are going forward to other countries,
5:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
but in the what we call,
5:25
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
this is the commessa region,
5:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the eastern and southern Africa is combined.
5:30
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Nema,
5:31
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
sir.
5:37
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
5:37
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
5:38
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
5:40
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
5:40
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
6:11
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I'm not from both
6:18
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Thank you very
6:23
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
much.
6:36
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
This is the first place of the world.
6:37
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
In the city of Mocer,
6:39
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
there will be 1 ,000 and 1 ,000,
6:42
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and we have several other places such as the forest,
6:45
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
the forest,
6:47
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
the forest, the forest,
6:49
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
the forest, and the forest.
6:52
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
The idea
6:56
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
of this is that the state is that it is to take place in the city
7:01
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
of Mocer.
7:01
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
... ... ... ... ...
7:29
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
If I have a member of the government,
7:33
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
I will be able to do it.
7:35
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So I will be able to do it.
7:37
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So I will be able to do it in Africa.
7:39
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
This is the end of Africa,
7:41
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
such as the difference between the countries and the
7:46
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
countries and the countries and the countries and the countries and the countries and the countries.
7:49
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Of course,
7:52
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
this is the best way.
7:56
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
... ... ... ... ... ...
8:14
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
8:14
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
...
8:16
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
...
8:16
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
... ...
8:54
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
9:08
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
in the dark area of the campus.
9:12
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
9:16
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
9:18
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
9:53
S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
What are you so different from Super Bowl?
9:55
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Right.
9:56
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
4, 4,
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S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
6.
10:13
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Thank you
10:17
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
very much.
10:53
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
It's a great place to be here.
10:56
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
This is good, we are listening to this food
11:17
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
We are speaking
11:22
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
about wheat that Egypt introduced about 10 million
11:26
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
tons for the local consumers
11:30
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and we export around 10 as well.
11:34
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So we are exporting 50 % of the...
11:52
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
12:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So, yes,
12:09
S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
it's good.
12:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And so we look at trade with a map there.
12:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Is wheat not available
12:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
in other Africa countries?
12:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Maybe, or maybe not.
12:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Thank you very
12:38
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
much.
12:38
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
It could have been said but it's
12:42
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
not quite repeated.
12:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We have to accept that we are in a deep line.
12:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Everything has gone deep.
12:50
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
Yes.
12:50
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
Now,
12:51
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
this digital tool will help us address food security,
12:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
food insecurity,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
trade and investment.
13:00
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
So,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
if Egypt,
13:02
S… Speaker 8 (12.m4a)
for example,
13:04
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
is producing certain quantity of goods,
13:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
it might not produce all that it needs.
13:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the food balance has to show which country has excess
13:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
of what they can import,
13:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
like what you have said.
13:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Now, for a trader who is looking at opportunities,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for each country is selling such a product and at what price.
13:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you see the different modules.
13:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You see the production,
13:26
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
the stocks,
13:27
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
the price.
13:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the trader will be favored by looking at the price and know where to
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
buy. The government will use this tool to come up with policies.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
If a certain community is low in a certain country,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you cannot export it because the society won't have what to do.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the country puts up a policy on putting a ban on
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the export.
13:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
But puts up a policy on how they can sustain the
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S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
population.
13:52
S… Speaker 2 (12.m4a)
So that is important.
13:54
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Country which has access,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
support the country which has less.
13:58
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then we move together as a nation.
14:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I submit.
14:02
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Okay,
14:03
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
thank you.
14:04
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
14:33
S… Speaker 4 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
15:02
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
This is the first time of the day of
15:06
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
the day of the day.
15:28
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
If it's the same, it'll be 14 years old.
15:38
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
... ... ... ...
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S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
For example,
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S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
we have children,
16:05
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and we have children,
16:07
S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
but we have children.
16:07
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
However,
16:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
children have children,
16:10
S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
children,
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S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
children, children,
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S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
children,
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S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
children.
16:17
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Thank you very much.
16:44
S… Speaker 7 (12.m4a)
Thank you.
16:57
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
. . . .
17:17
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
I don't know.
17:38
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So while speaking about the sensitive,
17:40
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
the products of Egypt are sensitive
17:45
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
for Egypt,
17:46
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and we are importing these products,
17:48
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
they are around 5 products,
17:51
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
but we produced the
17:55
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
industrial food process,
17:58
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
that would be around 13.
18:00
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
so we are importing about 13 including agriculture
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S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and industrial products only
18:10
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
about five or six only agriculture they
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S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
are including rice wheat oil beans
18:21
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Soya beans,
18:21
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
yes.
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S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Rice,
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S… Speaker 8 (12.m4a)
maybe...
18:26
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So,
18:31
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
let you present your presentation now,
18:34
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
and we can keep our questions and interventions up until
18:38
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
you finish your presentation.
18:39
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
Please go ahead.
18:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So this is the presentation.
18:51
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the food balance is meant to get
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
data from all,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
from ESA,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
even all African countries.
18:59
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we're starting with the basic commodities,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
rice, beans,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
maize,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
wheat, sorghum.
19:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we use remote sensing,
19:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we use AI,
19:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we use machine learning,
19:10
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and we also use government official statistics and estimates.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So what we want to do is to present a picture of...
19:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
advanced information intelligence to tell you what
19:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
is the situation in Egypt,
19:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
what is the situation in Ethiopia,
19:25
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
in Kenya, in Zambia,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and which commodities are available.
19:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So this gives you the form for you to get access into the
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
system.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You need to tell us the country organization.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then when you get to the system,
19:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
this is what you see.
19:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we have these modules,
19:38
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
production, stocks,
19:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
trade.
19:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
rice, and we also have utilization.
19:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we want
19:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
to give you a trend of the last five years.
19:51
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We'll tell you how the situation has been for any of those commodities.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So for example,
19:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
if you look at the last five years,
19:58
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we can tell you if
20:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
production has been increasing or decreasing in any of the countries in Africa.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you can be able to see if there is a problem,
20:05
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can see it in advance.
20:07
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So if you look at the map,
20:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can see the red colours show that there is a problem with a decline in production
20:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
or in something that affects the economy.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So this system at least gives you intelligence from a national
20:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
perspective and also from the old research so that you can see where do we need
20:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
to do in production or where do we need to do more trade.
20:28
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then when we look at production,
20:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we look at production in detail.
20:31
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We look at the remote sensing based production.
20:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So what that means is we work with NASA Harvest,
20:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which is a Lynch University of Maryland.
20:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So they take photos of the farms and give you an estimate of the production based
20:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
on the images of the renovation.
20:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we also have an artificial intelligence model that is able to look
20:52
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
at historical data and produce the production for seasonal production.
20:56
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
But we also have the government giving them production estimates.
20:59
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we have three different sources of production estimates.
21:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then we have a national food partnership committee in each country.
21:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
They sit together at least the farmers,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the producers, the traders,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
they sit,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the manufacturers,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
all the stakeholders in there.
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
If you're talking about wheat,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
anyone that is dealing with wheat,
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S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
they come to the food partnership committee and they validate the data at a national level.
21:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So they ask questions about production and estimates and what is required.
21:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then they validate the country level data.
21:26
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then when you look at the other components,
21:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which is stocks,
21:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we also monitor when the strategic food reserve agency is holding.
21:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So like if it's here,
21:35
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I believe in Egypt,
21:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we also have a strategic food reserve agency that is responsible for holding stocks
21:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
of wheat.
21:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So in case there's any production deficit or there's a drought on our families,
21:45
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
at least they know how much they hold every single month.
21:48
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that production,
21:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
that stock number is held every month.
21:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we can see for the whole year which month we need to buy,
21:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we need to sell,
21:56
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we need to buy from the farmers and which ones we need to import.
22:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Every country does this.
22:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So they have that position and then they also have the farmers who
22:05
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
have storage.
22:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we also estimate how much is held by the farmers because sometimes
22:10
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the farmers produce and then they take aside some and...
22:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
They have some stocks in the household level.
22:15
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we also have that figure.
22:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then we have the demand from the processors,
22:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the people who make bread,
22:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the people who process the wheat.
22:21
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
How much stocks do they have?
22:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Because they try to need to hold stocks for maybe two,
22:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
three months so that they can continuously process.
22:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we also have that figure.
22:30
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So when you look at the food balance sheet,
22:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you'll now be able to see every month how much stocks are being held by a country.
22:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So if you talk about Egypt,
22:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we need the government to give us that planning schedule.
22:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So for 2027,
22:42
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
how much will the food reserve agency need to hold in terms of stock?
22:45
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
How much will the traders be having?
22:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And even when they import,
22:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we need that data now on the trade side.
22:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we also monitor how much is being imported,
22:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
how much is being exported.
22:57
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And so because we're doing this as a planning tool,
23:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
so we're doing it in advance.
23:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So what we normally ask,
23:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we ask all those organizations to give us their plan for 2027,
23:07
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for example.
23:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you tell us,
23:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the Strategic Reserve Agency,
23:10
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
what level of wheat stocks will you be holding from January to December.
23:15
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that is your plan.
23:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
It's just an Excel worksheet that says January,
23:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
December, total stocks held by the Strategic Reserve Agency.
23:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So also the millers,
23:24
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
they tell you what is the demand they need for the whole year and how much they
23:28
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
estimated to be holding each of those markets.
23:30
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And if they are trading,
23:31
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
how much the plan would you buy?
23:33
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we know,
23:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
of course, if you buy from Ukraine,
23:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
if you buy from Russia,
23:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
from those different countries.
23:39
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you tell us the plan,
23:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
how much will be available,
23:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and also looking at historical data.
23:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You know when you need to buy,
23:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
when it comes in what months you need to have that data.
23:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So essentially,
23:48
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
this tool is a planning tool for each country to give their plan.
23:52
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then we try and see in what ways can we
23:56
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
help each other to trade.
23:58
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the other thing we have is the price. So every factor will tell you what is there.
24:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
price in USD per metric ton for commodity.
24:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So when you go to the food balance sheet,
24:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you will see if you pick wheat,
24:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can see which country,
24:11
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
what is the price and what is available.
24:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the idea behind this is if the other countries are able
24:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
to supply maybe the 10 ,000 metric tons that
24:22
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Egypt needs for wheat,
24:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can be able to see how much is it in Zambia,
24:25
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
how much is it in Malawi.
24:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Do they even produce enough?
24:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
to be able to supply or you need to buy it from somewhere.
24:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the idea of what price is to see the market price so
24:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
that traders can make that decision.
24:39
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Are we able to buy and transport it all the way to Egypt or can we buy
24:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
it from Zambia to Kenya?
24:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
What is the logistics about it?
24:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So I'll show you that in the system.
24:48
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the other side is utilization.
24:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we track what is the requirement for human consumption.
24:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
How much is the per capita consumption?
24:56
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for a particular community so we look at
25:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which is a per -capital consumption for the population.
25:02
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We think that will give us a total requirement for food in Egypt.
25:06
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I think it's around 20 million metric tons in a row.
25:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that is the figure that you need to produce in Egypt.
25:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
If they're not able,
25:13
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you need to import it.
25:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And if the other countries in the commercial region,
25:17
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
are they able to produce?
25:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you calculate each country,
25:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
what is your consumption,
25:21
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
what is your production,
25:22
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then utilization,
25:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we also look at how much is required for the feed industry,
25:26
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for the seeds,
25:27
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and for other industrial use.
25:29
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
so if it's rich you also look at is it used for beer or is it used for any
25:33
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
other item apart from food so we also have brilliant we also have sorghum
25:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we also have glaze so we look at how is that is it even swear is
25:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
it used for manufacturing feed
25:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So when you look at a commodity,
25:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you look at all those indicators.
25:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You look at the utilisation that is needed for that commodity.
25:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So essentially what you are doing,
25:51
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
each country is preparing a national food balance sheet.
25:54
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
The way you do is FAO.
25:56
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And this food balance sheet is looking forward.
25:58
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You are not reporting what has happened.
26:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
You are projecting and focusing what will happen.
26:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So that if every country is able to do it,
26:05
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can see other places where a commercial can work together and
26:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
be able to trade.
26:11
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and use this food balance sheet for giving information and policy direction.
26:15
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So the other thing is that we have three other data contributors.
26:19
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So there's the Bureau for Food and Arquitecture Policy based in South Africa,
26:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which now does the same food balance sheet,
26:25
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
but using intelligence and using artificial intelligence.
26:30
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And it looks at other factors like world markets,
26:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
exchange rates.
26:35
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
It looks at situations like the power of the war,
26:39
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the price for commodities,
26:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
for fertilizer.
26:42
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So it looks at all those indicators and comes up with an equilibrium price
26:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
solution in addition to what the government has given.
26:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then the other one is the AI model based on historical FAO
26:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
data that Egypt has already given for the last maybe 20 years.
26:58
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So it looks at how the situation has been,
27:00
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the impact,
27:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the yield,
27:02
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the production estimate,
27:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
the service losses,
27:04
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
then it makes a prediction of how the food
27:08
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
balance is going to be for Egypt.
27:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So when you have all these data sources,
27:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we now compile food balance sheets for the countries we are working with,
27:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which now I want to show you quickly on the
27:20
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
system itself.
27:21
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And then we can go into discussions.
27:25
S… Speaker 6 (12.m4a)
So
27:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
as it opens...
27:33
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And that's actually as we're talking and doing this.
27:35
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we get most of our weeks now in Egypt from Ukraine.
27:38
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
But Ukraine is at war.
27:41
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
What if that thing escalates that they can't sell weeks?
27:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We have to look for other places.
27:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
And these two come and say,
27:48
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
oh, there's wheat in Kenya,
27:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
or there's wheat in another place,
27:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then you can...
27:54
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
Government is going to...
27:56
S… Speaker 3 (12.m4a)
That's why
28:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
we want to go back into the platform where you can go.
28:03
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
There are oranges in Uganda.
28:07
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
There is rice in Tanzania which you can buy
28:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
easily if another source is blocked.
28:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
The world keeps on changing and we are preparing for that.
28:32
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which gives you the reports for food balances,
28:34
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
production,
28:35
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
stocks,
28:36
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
trade, price,
28:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
utilisation.
28:37
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then on the side you have about,
28:39
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
data sources,
28:40
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then these are other machine learning,
28:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
user management,
28:43
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
these are for the administrator.
28:44
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you're on the food balance sheet,
28:46
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
you can pick any commodity.
28:47
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you first pick a commodity,
28:49
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
whether it's greens,
28:50
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
maize,
28:51
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
I think for a discussion with a child,
28:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
focus on wheat.
28:53
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So you pick wheat,
28:55
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
and then you can see the data contributors.
28:57
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So we have different people giving us data.
28:59
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We have the Bureau for Food and Agriculture Policy,
29:01
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which is a policy institution that has market
29:05
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
monitors, it has experts that are looking at data and
29:09
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
coming up with reports.
29:11
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
So they are analytic providers.
29:12
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then you have FAO stat,
29:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which we all know,
29:14
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
which is FAO,
29:16
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
their statistics website.
29:18
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
We pick data from it on a daily and a monthly basis.
29:22
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
Then you have Fusenet,
29:23
S… Speaker 1 (12.m4a)
they also look at the food security situation in Africa,

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